Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.170624 0.201492 0.236033 0.277506 0.325907 0.380568 0.446942
2025-08-24 0.124915 0.164597 0.213751 0.278936 0.362925 0.467302 0.606664
2025-08-31 0.095534 0.136712 0.191756 0.270355 0.379303 0.524534 0.732312
2025-09-07 0.079718 0.122091 0.182379 0.273815 0.408283 0.597942 0.884727
2025-09-14 0.067446 0.109643 0.173051 0.274407 0.431313 0.663665 1.032125
2025-09-21 0.056956 0.097760 0.162194 0.270202 0.445315 0.716205 1.164430
2025-09-28 0.049178 0.088734 0.154103 0.268541 0.462046 0.773470 1.308935
2025-10-05 0.045490 0.085871 0.155394 0.281950 0.504148 0.874599 1.533683
2025-10-12 0.042955 0.084563 0.158975 0.299403 0.554660 0.994252 1.801205
2025-10-19 0.039423 0.080828 0.157646 0.307743 0.589809 1.090883 2.038595
2025-10-26 0.035326 0.075357 0.152329 0.307884 0.609778 1.162376 2.238034
2025-11-02 0.030659 0.068023 0.142450 0.297949 0.609445 1.196605 2.372154
2025-11-09 0.025877 0.059934 0.130440 0.283175 0.599829 1.215964 2.487547
2025-11-16 0.023222 0.056024 0.126452 0.284313 0.622339 1.299932 2.738627
2025-11-23 0.020112 0.050550 0.118334 0.275545 0.623195 1.341007 2.908632
2025-11-30 0.018365 0.047938 0.116053 0.279066 0.650338 1.437935 3.202714
2025-12-07 0.016628 0.045048 0.112706 0.279668 0.671043 1.523417 3.481580
2025-12-14 0.014802 0.041615 0.107578 0.275386 0.680102 1.584706 3.714526
2025-12-21 0.013350 0.038899 0.103769 0.273695 0.694847 1.659835 3.985678
2025-12-28 0.012847 0.038658 0.106075 0.287349 0.747699 1.826058 4.479843
2026-01-04 0.012558 0.038963 0.109818 0.305123 0.812669 2.026669 5.073551
2026-01-11 0.011855 0.037961 0.109980 0.313614 0.855444 2.179383 5.569460
2026-01-18 0.010872 0.035956 0.107150 0.313758 0.876883 2.283035 5.957685